Saturday, October 27, 2007

Hurrican't

Oops, we're coming to the end of the second hurricane season in a row without a large number of catastrophic, Katrina-like hurricanes. The National Hurricane Center predicted an 85% chance of an above normal hurricane season, just like they did in 2006 and, once again, the hurricane season fizzled (Praise the Lord).

It just shows that:

1.) the climate is too complex to predict mere weeks in advance, let alone years or decades.
2.) global warming doesn't necessarily mean bad weather.
3.) climate prediction is too politicized (sorry, but President Bush didn't cause Katrina).
4.) we don't understand half as much as we think we do (the illusion of knowledge is more dangerous than ignorance itself).

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